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Red105
147749.0
92897.4
62431.4
Blue67
837015.0
918116.3
951218.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10855015020010567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+26Teleop
+36Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +19
12Coral scored#8
42Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
60Total teleop41
Reef
7L4#3
3L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +38
12Foul points10
105Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.00.0
48.148.1
Auto8.8
Teleop34.0
End6.2
red by 30.9
9512
#12
18.10.0
17.517.5
Auto2.9
Teleop14.1
End1.1
Second
624
#8
31.40.0
30.530.5
Auto7.6
Teleop19.3
End4.5
red by 15.1
9181
#23
16.30.0
15.715.7
Auto2.7
Teleop5.9
End7.7
Third
9289
#28
7.40.0
6.56.5
Auto2.4
Teleop4.7
End0.2
blue by 7.6
8370
#10
15.00.0
14.314.3
Auto4.5
Teleop8.3
End2.2