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Red127
463927.6
947817.5
1011826.4
Blue76
42953.1
648819.6
817718.6
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8653010015012776

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+39Teleop
+51Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +33
22Coral scored#12
78Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
96Total teleop63
Reef
7L4#5
8L3#4
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points0
127Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4639
#16
27.60.9
25.726.6
Auto5.9
Teleop20.4
End1.3
red by 8.0
19.60.3
19.319.6
Auto5.0
Teleop13.9
End0.7
Second
26.40.9
24.525.3
Auto4.5
Teleop14.3
End7.6
red by 7.8
18.60.3
18.318.6
Auto3.8
Teleop9.7
End5.0
Third
9478
#21
17.51.0
15.416.3
Auto3.9
Teleop11.9
End1.7
red by 14.4
4295
#31
3.10.3
2.83.1
Auto1.4
Teleop1.4
End0.2