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Red74
814412.2
373520.2
421914.7
Blue42
857617.7
526112.7
578814.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52500204060801001201401607442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+16Teleop
+16Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +23
9Coral scored#4
31Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
45Total teleop22
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +32
16Foul points0
74Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3735
#15
20.20.3
19.319.6
Auto3.3
Teleop15.4
End1.5
red by 2.4
17.70.1
17.817.7
Auto4.1
Teleop10.0
End3.7
Second
4219
#25
14.70.3
13.914.2
Auto2.9
Teleop9.6
End2.1
red by 0.5
5788
#22
14.30.1
14.314.3
Auto2.8
Teleop10.7
End0.8
Third
8144
#13
12.20.3
11.912.2
Auto2.8
Teleop8.7
End0.7
blue by 0.5
5261
#32
12.70.1
12.812.7
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End2.8