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Red77
837015.0
918116.3
951218.1
Blue58
85919.5
648819.6
817718.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions646702040801001201401607758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+3
+7Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto12
Teleoperatedlevel
7Coral scored#7
26Coral points24
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
6Processor points12
8Net points4
14Algae points16
40Total teleop40
Reef
2L4#4
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +19
12Foul points0
77Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9512
#12
18.10.2
17.517.6
Auto2.9
Teleop14.1
End1.1
blue by 1.5
19.60.0
19.619.6
Auto5.0
Teleop13.9
End0.7
Second
9181
#23
16.30.2
15.715.8
Auto2.7
Teleop5.9
End7.7
blue by 2.3
18.60.0
18.618.6
Auto3.8
Teleop9.7
End5.0
Third
8370
#10
15.00.2
14.314.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.3
End2.2
red by 5.4
8591
#17
9.50.0
9.69.5
Auto2.7
Teleop5.2
End1.6