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Red133
951516.1
147753.1
912848.5
Blue96
463935.2
258341.6
912111.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127865010015020013396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+19Teleop
+41Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave3
7Coral scored#3
37Coral points13
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +2
12Coral scored#13
42Coral points48
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
70Total teleop72
Reef
8L4#6
5L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#21
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +37
2Foul points6
133Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.10.3
52.853.1
Auto10.5
Teleop32.7
End9.9
red by 11.5
41.60.0
41.641.6
Auto9.9
Teleop31.0
End0.7
Second
48.50.3
48.248.5
Auto12.9
Teleop29.2
End6.5
red by 13.3
35.20.0
35.135.2
Auto5.7
Teleop28.2
End1.3
Third
9515
#14
16.10.3
15.816.1
Auto5.7
Teleop6.9
End3.5
red by 4.8
9121
#21
11.30.0
11.311.3
Auto4.1
Teleop6.2
End1.0