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Red128
951516.1
147753.1
912848.5
Blue103
463935.2
258341.6
912111.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1278650100150200128103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+15Teleop
+29Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave3
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points23
37Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +4
14Coral scored#14
51Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
69Total teleop65
Reef
9L4#6
6L3#5
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#22
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +25
6Foul points10
128Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.10.1
52.652.8
Auto10.5
Teleop32.7
End9.9
red by 11.5
41.60.1
41.541.6
Auto9.9
Teleop31.0
End0.7
Second
48.50.1
48.148.2
Auto12.9
Teleop29.2
End6.5
red by 13.3
35.20.1
35.035.1
Auto5.7
Teleop28.2
End1.3
Third
9515
#14
16.10.1
15.715.8
Auto5.7
Teleop6.9
End3.5
red by 4.8
9121
#21
11.30.1
11.211.3
Auto4.1
Teleop6.2
End1.0