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Red126
463935.2
258341.6
912111.3
Blue63
303533.4
947810.4
258728.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9681406012014012663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+41Teleop
+39Endgame
+63Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points14
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +41
10Coral scored#7
37Coral points24
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
18Processor points6
20Net points4
38Algae points10
75Total teleop34
Reef
4L4#4
5L3#2
4L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +63
24Foul points0
126Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.60.3
41.141.5
Auto9.9
Teleop31.0
End0.7
red by 8.2
33.40.2
33.633.4
Auto5.3
Teleop26.3
End1.8
Second
35.20.3
34.735.0
Auto5.7
Teleop28.2
End1.3
red by 6.3
2587
#11
28.90.2
29.228.9
Auto6.7
Teleop20.8
End1.5
Third
9121
#21
11.30.3
10.811.2
Auto4.1
Teleop6.2
End1.0
red by 0.9
9478
#24
10.40.2
10.610.4
Auto4.1
Teleop5.2
End1.1