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Red82
85917.6
147753.1
303533.4
Blue28
1038514.6
928912.9
951715.0
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1024202060801201401608228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+56Teleop
+66Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +46
9Coral scored#2
32Coral points6
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
12Processor points0
8Net points0
20Algae points0
52Total teleop6
Reef
6L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
16Game pieces#2
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points12
82Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.10.3
49.048.6
Auto10.5
Teleop32.7
End9.9
red by 38.1
9517
#20
15.02.9
14.411.5
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End1.4
Second
33.40.6
25.625.0
Auto5.3
Teleop26.3
End1.8
red by 18.8
14.67.6
22.514.9
Auto1.7
Teleop11.4
End1.5
Third
8591
#15
7.60.3
9.59.2
Auto2.9
Teleop3.8
End0.9
blue by 5.2
12.91.7
7.45.6
Auto4.0
Teleop7.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsEarned