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Red117
258341.6
32432.2
761617.5
Blue73
590816.5
463935.2
905113.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions976105015011773

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+32Teleop
+34Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +29
16Coral scored#10
58Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
6Processor points6
20Net points12
26Algae points18
84Total teleop55
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
18Foul points8
117Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.60.3
30.330.6
Auto9.9
Teleop31.0
End0.7
red by 6.5
35.20.1
27.627.5
Auto5.7
Teleop28.2
End1.3
Second
324
#4
32.20.6
29.930.5
Auto5.4
Teleop23.4
End3.4
red by 15.6
5908
#17
16.50.2
15.415.2
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End1.4
Third
7616
#22
17.50.6
24.725.2
Auto3.4
Teleop10.7
End3.3
red by 4.3
9051
#10
13.10.2
16.316.0
Auto2.6
Teleop8.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed