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Red69
1034027.1
406334.7
947810.4
Blue39
94484.4
801923.7
857310.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96370501506939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+28Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +31
13Coral scored#4
45Coral points16
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
57Total teleop26
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#1
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
69Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.71.4
32.531.1
Auto5.7
Teleop27.8
End1.1
red by 11.0
8019
#16
23.70.3
20.119.7
Auto4.3
Teleop17.3
End2.1
Second
27.10.8
23.222.4
Auto7.5
Teleop17.1
End2.5
red by 16.8
8573
#19
10.30.3
11.911.6
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End1.4
Third
9478
#24
10.40.9
17.516.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.2
End1.1
red by 6.0
9448
#25
4.40.3
3.12.8
Auto1.5
Teleop0.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed