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Red49
951516.1
881813.1
258728.9
Blue53
582929.2
912111.3
87509.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585301001502002503004953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+12
Endgame+10
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +9
7Coral scored#9
25Coral points34
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
33Total teleop42
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
6Foul points0
49Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
#11
28.91.9
21.419.5
Auto6.7
Teleop20.8
End1.5
blue by 0.3
5829
#12
29.20.3
21.120.8
Auto5.5
Teleop21.8
End1.9
Second
9515
#14
16.11.9
16.614.6
Auto5.7
Teleop6.9
End3.5
red by 4.8
9121
#21
11.30.3
10.610.4
Auto4.1
Teleop6.2
End1.0
Third
8818
#13
13.11.2
13.512.3
Auto3.2
Teleop8.8
End1.1
red by 3.5
8750
#23
9.60.4
17.517.1
Auto4.5
Teleop3.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed