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Red53
881813.1
951715.0
582929.2
Blue92
857310.3
258341.6
761617.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49720204060801001201405392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+25
Endgame+27
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +15
7Coral scored#11
26Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
40Total teleop55
Reef
2L4#5
3L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points12
53Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5829
#12
29.20.4
20.821.2
Auto5.5
Teleop21.8
End1.9
blue by 12.4
41.61.1
31.032.1
Auto9.9
Teleop31.0
End0.7
Second
9517
#20
15.00.7
13.714.4
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End1.4
blue by 2.5
7616
#22
17.51.8
21.923.7
Auto3.4
Teleop10.7
End3.3
Third
8818
#13
13.10.4
12.012.4
Auto3.2
Teleop8.8
End1.1
red by 2.8
8573
#19
10.31.1
11.212.3
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed