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Red51
905113.1
801923.7
947810.4
Blue84
32432.2
85917.6
303533.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64820501001502002505184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+25
Endgame+27
Fouls+33
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points6
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +29
7Coral scored#15
24Coral points53
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
34Total teleop63
Reef
2L4#6
3L3#4
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points6
51Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8019
#16
23.70.6
19.719.2
Auto4.3
Teleop17.3
End2.1
blue by 9.7
33.40.6
25.726.3
Auto5.3
Teleop26.3
End1.8
Second
9051
#10
13.11.0
15.114.2
Auto2.6
Teleop8.6
End1.9
blue by 19.0
324
#4
32.20.6
30.531.1
Auto5.4
Teleop23.4
End3.4
Third
9478
#24
10.40.6
16.916.4
Auto4.1
Teleop5.2
End1.1
red by 2.7
8591
#15
7.60.4
7.27.6
Auto2.9
Teleop3.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed