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Red102
463935.2
912848.5
258728.9
Blue39
951516.1
912111.3
87509.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1143805010015010239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+53Teleop
+63Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +39
13Coral scored#5
47Coral points18
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
65Total teleop26
Reef
7L4#2
4L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#9
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
0Foul points0
102Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.50.3
48.247.9
Auto12.9
Teleop29.2
End6.5
red by 32.4
9515
#14
16.11.6
14.613.0
Auto5.7
Teleop6.9
End3.5
Second
35.20.3
27.527.2
Auto5.7
Teleop28.2
End1.3
red by 23.9
9121
#21
11.30.9
10.49.4
Auto4.1
Teleop6.2
End1.0
Third
2587
#11
28.90.5
19.519.0
Auto6.7
Teleop20.8
End1.5
red by 19.3
8750
#23
9.61.6
17.115.5
Auto4.5
Teleop3.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed