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Red47
94484.4
582929.2
590816.5
Blue50
881813.1
857310.3
406334.7
29%Model gave it71%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4364020801001201404750

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+11
Endgame+9
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +5
7Coral scored#8
24Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
34Total teleop39
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
6Foul points0
47Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5829
#12
29.20.1
20.820.8
Auto5.5
Teleop21.8
End1.9
blue by 5.4
34.70.6
31.130.6
Auto5.7
Teleop27.8
End1.1
Second
5908
#17
16.50.1
15.215.1
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End1.4
red by 3.5
8818
#13
13.10.3
12.312.0
Auto3.2
Teleop8.8
End1.1
Third
9448
#25
4.40.1
2.82.8
Auto1.5
Teleop0.7
End2.2
blue by 5.9
8573
#19
10.30.3
11.611.2
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed