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Red78
947810.4
303533.4
258341.6
Blue108
1034027.1
951715.0
147753.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions779005010015078108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+4
Endgame+24
Fouls+30
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +4
12Coral scored#13
44Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
58Total teleop62
Reef
4L4#7
6L3#3
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points6
78Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.60.4
30.631.0
Auto9.9
Teleop31.0
End0.7
blue by 11.5
53.11.3
48.649.9
Auto10.5
Teleop32.7
End9.9
Second
33.40.6
25.025.7
Auto5.3
Teleop26.3
End1.8
red by 6.3
27.11.3
22.423.7
Auto7.5
Teleop17.1
End2.5
Third
9478
#24
10.40.4
16.616.9
Auto4.1
Teleop5.2
End1.1
blue by 4.6
9517
#20
15.02.2
11.513.7
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsEarned