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Red64
912111.3
94484.4
406334.7
Blue96
463935.2
1034027.1
32432.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40970501506496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+32
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points14
13Total auto17
TeleoperatedBlue +28
10Coral scored#16
35Coral points57
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
0Processor points6
12Net points12
12Algae points18
47Total teleop75
Reef
3L4#7
4L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
64Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.71.2
30.631.8
Auto5.7
Teleop27.8
End1.1
blue by 0.5
35.20.1
27.227.3
Auto5.7
Teleop28.2
End1.3
Second
9121
#21
11.30.7
9.410.1
Auto4.1
Teleop6.2
End1.0
blue by 20.8
324
#4
32.20.2
31.131.3
Auto5.4
Teleop23.4
End3.4
Third
9448
#25
4.40.7
2.83.5
Auto1.5
Teleop0.7
End2.2
blue by 22.7
27.10.1
23.723.8
Auto7.5
Teleop17.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed