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Red101
258728.9
303533.4
1038514.6
Blue60
801923.7
881813.1
85917.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7448020406010012014016010160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+35Teleop
+35Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +31
13Coral scored#9
48Coral points31
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
76Total teleop45
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
6Foul points0
101Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.43.0
26.329.3
Auto5.3
Teleop26.3
End1.8
red by 9.7
8019
#16
23.70.6
19.219.8
Auto4.3
Teleop17.3
End2.1
Second
2587
#11
28.93.0
19.022.1
Auto6.7
Teleop20.8
End1.5
red by 15.8
8818
#13
13.10.6
12.413.0
Auto3.2
Teleop8.8
End1.1
Third
14.63.0
11.614.6
Auto1.7
Teleop11.4
End1.5
red by 7.0
8591
#15
7.60.6
7.68.2
Auto2.9
Teleop3.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed