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Red59
463935.2
94484.4
1038514.6
Blue74
258728.9
258341.6
801923.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions529301505974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+13
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave3
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +4
10Coral scored#9
35Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
49Total teleop45
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
59Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.20.4
27.327.7
Auto5.7
Teleop28.2
End1.3
blue by 6.5
41.60.6
32.131.5
Auto9.9
Teleop31.0
End0.7
Second
14.60.6
14.615.2
Auto1.7
Teleop11.4
End1.5
blue by 14.3
2587
#11
28.91.0
22.121.1
Auto6.7
Teleop20.8
End1.5
Third
9448
#25
4.40.4
3.53.9
Auto1.5
Teleop0.7
End2.2
blue by 19.3
8019
#16
23.70.6
19.819.2
Auto4.3
Teleop17.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed