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Red26
951715.0
905113.1
912111.3
Blue54
1034027.1
951516.1
590816.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415501001502654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+38
Endgame+38
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave6
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points24
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +14
1Coral scored#4
4Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
4Total teleop18
Reef
1L4#3
0L3#3
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
1Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
12Foul points2
26Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9517
#20
15.02.7
14.411.6
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End1.4
blue by 12.1
27.10.2
23.824.0
Auto7.5
Teleop17.1
End2.5
Second
9051
#10
13.12.7
14.211.4
Auto2.6
Teleop8.6
End1.9
blue by 3.4
5908
#17
16.50.3
12.813.2
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End1.4
Third
9121
#21
11.31.6
10.18.5
Auto4.1
Teleop6.2
End1.0
blue by 4.8
9515
#14
16.10.3
12.312.6
Auto5.7
Teleop6.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed