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Red14
905113.1
87509.6
94484.4
Blue86
258341.6
590816.5
582929.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277602040601001201401486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+74
Endgame+78
Fouls+72
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +61
0Coral scored#11
0Coral points41
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
0Processor points12
0Net points8
0Algae points20
0Total teleop61
Reef
0L4#4
0L3#4
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#3
0Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +72
6Foul points0
14Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9051
#10
13.12.5
11.48.9
Auto2.6
Teleop8.6
End1.9
blue by 28.5
41.61.3
31.532.8
Auto9.9
Teleop31.0
End0.7
Second
8750
#23
9.62.5
15.012.5
Auto4.5
Teleop3.2
End1.8
blue by 19.6
5829
#12
29.21.3
21.622.9
Auto5.5
Teleop21.8
End1.9
Third
9448
#25
4.41.5
3.92.4
Auto1.5
Teleop0.7
End2.2
blue by 12.2
5908
#17
16.52.2
13.215.4
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed