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Red31
761617.5
951516.1
94484.4
Blue60
881813.1
303533.4
905113.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3463020801001201401603160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+39
Endgame+23
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave3
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +35
1Coral scored#8
2Coral points27
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
2Total teleop37
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#3
0L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#12
BargeRed +16
20Cage & park4
20Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points6
31Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7616
#22
17.50.4
20.319.9
Auto3.4
Teleop10.7
End3.3
blue by 15.9
33.40.1
30.830.7
Auto5.3
Teleop26.3
End1.8
Second
9515
#14
16.10.4
14.013.6
Auto5.7
Teleop6.9
End3.5
red by 3.0
9051
#10
13.10.1
8.08.0
Auto2.6
Teleop8.6
End1.9
Third
9448
#25
4.40.2
0.30.1
Auto1.5
Teleop0.7
End2.2
blue by 8.7
8818
#13
13.10.0
15.915.8
Auto3.2
Teleop8.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed