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Red112
258728.9
147753.1
857310.3
Blue13
87509.6
85917.6
1034027.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions925002040608010012014011213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+59Teleop
+69Endgame
+99Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +49
10Coral scored#0
35Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
49Total teleop0
Reef
6L4#1
3L3#0
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
16Game pieces#1
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +99
30Foul points0
112Total score13

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.10.1
48.648.7
Auto10.5
Teleop32.7
End9.9
red by 26.0
27.12.4
27.525.1
Auto7.5
Teleop17.1
End2.5
Second
2587
#11
28.90.1
22.322.4
Auto6.7
Teleop20.8
End1.5
red by 19.3
8750
#23
9.64.0
12.58.5
Auto4.5
Teleop3.2
End1.8
Third
8573
#19
10.30.1
9.89.9
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End1.4
red by 2.7
8591
#15
7.62.4
8.86.4
Auto2.9
Teleop3.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed