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Red80
258341.6
928912.9
94484.4
Blue96
303533.4
912111.3
463935.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3981020601001201408096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+16
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +20
13Coral scored#13
46Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
60Total teleop80
Reef
8L4#5
3L3#4
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
80Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.62.3
32.835.1
Auto9.9
Teleop31.0
End0.7
red by 6.5
35.21.4
28.830.1
Auto5.7
Teleop28.2
End1.3
Second
12.92.3
6.79.0
Auto4.0
Teleop7.5
End1.4
blue by 20.5
33.42.1
30.732.8
Auto5.3
Teleop26.3
End1.8
Third
9448
#25
4.42.3
0.12.3
Auto1.5
Teleop0.7
End2.2
blue by 6.9
9121
#21
11.31.4
10.912.2
Auto4.1
Teleop6.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed