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Red97
912848.5
905113.1
1034027.1
Blue94
801923.7
582929.2
258728.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93752040601001201401609794

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
Teleop+7
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
0Leave0
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points12
24Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +19
13Coral scored#16
47Coral points58
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
61Total teleop80
Reef
6L4#8
7L3#5
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
12Cage & park2
12Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
97Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.51.2
45.446.6
Auto12.9
Teleop29.2
End6.5
red by 19.3
5829
#12
29.21.8
24.426.2
Auto5.5
Teleop21.8
End1.9
Second
27.11.2
25.126.4
Auto7.5
Teleop17.1
End2.5
blue by 1.8
2587
#11
28.92.8
22.425.2
Auto6.7
Teleop20.8
End1.5
Third
9051
#10
13.11.9
8.09.9
Auto2.6
Teleop8.6
End1.9
blue by 10.6
8019
#16
23.71.8
20.121.9
Auto4.3
Teleop17.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed