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Red88
951516.1
761617.5
258341.6
Blue58
94484.4
258728.9
85917.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7634020601001201408858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+40Teleop
+42Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +33
11Coral scored#4
41Coral points16
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
0Processor points0
12Net points4
12Algae points4
53Total teleop20
Reef
5L4#2
5L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
6Foul points18
88Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.61.2
35.536.7
Auto9.9
Teleop31.0
End0.7
red by 12.7
2587
#11
28.90.5
25.225.7
Auto6.7
Teleop20.8
End1.5
Second
7616
#22
17.51.7
16.818.5
Auto3.4
Teleop10.7
End3.3
red by 9.8
8591
#15
7.60.4
6.97.2
Auto2.9
Teleop3.8
End0.9
Third
9515
#14
16.11.7
12.414.0
Auto5.7
Teleop6.9
End3.5
red by 11.7
9448
#25
4.40.4
2.32.7
Auto1.5
Teleop0.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed