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Red54
32432.2
912111.3
1038514.6
Blue65
582929.2
947810.4
928912.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69490204060801005465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+11
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +7
7Coral scored#8
24Coral points29
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
32Total teleop39
Reef
2L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
6Foul points6
54Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#4
32.21.1
31.230.0
Auto5.4
Teleop23.4
End3.4
red by 2.9
5829
#12
29.21.0
26.227.2
Auto5.5
Teleop21.8
End1.9
Second
14.61.2
16.114.9
Auto1.7
Teleop11.4
End1.5
red by 1.7
12.91.0
9.010.0
Auto4.0
Teleop7.5
End1.4
Third
9121
#21
11.30.8
12.211.5
Auto4.1
Teleop6.2
End1.0
red by 0.9
9478
#24
10.41.0
9.310.3
Auto4.1
Teleop5.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed