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Red72
857310.3
1034027.1
303533.4
Blue102
590816.5
801923.7
912848.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions729405015072102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+32
Endgame+42
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +25
9Coral scored#14
33Coral points52
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
47Total teleop72
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#3
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
12Foul points0
72Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.41.1
32.831.7
Auto5.3
Teleop26.3
End1.8
blue by 15.1
48.51.1
46.647.7
Auto12.9
Teleop29.2
End6.5
Second
27.10.8
26.425.6
Auto7.5
Teleop17.1
End2.5
red by 3.4
8019
#16
23.71.1
21.923.0
Auto4.3
Teleop17.3
End2.1
Third
8573
#19
10.30.8
9.99.1
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End1.4
blue by 6.2
5908
#17
16.51.7
14.516.1
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsMissed87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsEarned