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Red84
1038514.6
87509.6
912848.5
Blue47
761617.5
951715.0
94484.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions802702040601001201408447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+45Teleop
+55Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +38
9Coral scored#3
32Coral points10
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
12Processor points0
8Net points4
20Algae points4
52Total teleop14
Reef
3L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#5
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points18
84Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.50.9
47.748.6
Auto12.9
Teleop29.2
End6.5
red by 31.1
7616
#22
17.50.6
18.517.9
Auto3.4
Teleop10.7
End3.3
Second
14.61.3
14.916.3
Auto1.7
Teleop11.4
End1.5
blue by 0.3
9517
#20
15.00.6
14.614.0
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End1.4
Third
8750
#23
9.61.3
7.68.9
Auto4.5
Teleop3.2
End1.8
red by 5.2
9448
#25
4.40.5
2.72.3
Auto1.5
Teleop0.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsEarned