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Red58
857310.3
32432.2
905113.1
Blue115
147753.1
463935.2
881813.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48105015058115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+55
Endgame+57
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +48
7Coral scored#16
25Coral points57
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#2
6Processor points18
4Net points8
10Algae points26
35Total teleop83
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#7
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points0
58Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#4
32.20.5
30.030.6
Auto5.4
Teleop23.4
End3.4
blue by 20.9
53.11.5
48.549.9
Auto10.5
Teleop32.7
End9.9
Second
9051
#10
13.10.5
11.612.1
Auto2.6
Teleop8.6
End1.9
blue by 22.0
35.21.5
31.633.1
Auto5.7
Teleop28.2
End1.3
Third
8573
#19
10.30.4
10.611.0
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End1.4
blue by 2.8
8818
#13
13.11.5
12.814.3
Auto3.2
Teleop8.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsEarned