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Red89
406334.7
590816.5
85917.6
Blue87
303533.4
928912.9
582929.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions617920401001201401608987

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+6
Endgame+10
+2Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +6
12Coral scored#16
42Coral points58
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
66Total teleop72
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#4
4L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
12Foul points0
89Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.70.4
33.133.6
Auto5.7
Teleop27.8
End1.1
red by 1.3
33.40.0
31.731.7
Auto5.3
Teleop26.3
End1.8
Second
5908
#17
16.50.4
14.615.0
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End1.4
blue by 12.7
5829
#12
29.20.0
28.428.4
Auto5.5
Teleop21.8
End1.9
Third
8591
#15
7.60.3
8.58.8
Auto2.9
Teleop3.8
End0.9
blue by 5.2
12.90.0
10.09.9
Auto4.0
Teleop7.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed