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Red34
951715.0
857310.3
951516.1
Blue140
258341.6
905113.1
147753.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2911005010015020034140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+82
Endgame+92
Fouls+106
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave9
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points18
9Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +64
4Coral scored#18
15Coral points65
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
6Processor points12
0Net points8
6Algae points20
21Total teleop85
Reef
1L4#9
2L3#7
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
6Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +106
0Foul points14
34Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9515
#14
16.10.5
15.715.2
Auto5.7
Teleop6.9
End3.5
blue by 37.0
53.11.7
49.951.7
Auto10.5
Teleop32.7
End9.9
Second
9517
#20
15.00.5
14.013.5
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End1.4
blue by 26.7
41.61.7
37.839.5
Auto9.9
Teleop31.0
End0.7
Third
8573
#19
10.30.4
11.010.6
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End1.4
blue by 2.8
9051
#10
13.12.1
12.114.2
Auto2.6
Teleop8.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsEarned