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Red73
32432.2
912848.5
881813.1
Blue63
590816.5
94484.4
303533.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1105001001507363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+6Teleop
+16Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
4Coral scored#2
19Coral points10
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +3
8Coral scored#8
30Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
40Total teleop37
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#3
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points6
73Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.51.7
48.646.9
Auto12.9
Teleop29.2
End6.5
red by 15.1
33.40.2
31.731.8
Auto5.3
Teleop26.3
End1.8
Second
324
#4
32.22.1
30.628.5
Auto5.4
Teleop23.4
End3.4
red by 15.6
5908
#17
16.50.2
15.015.1
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End1.4
Third
8818
#13
13.11.7
14.312.6
Auto3.2
Teleop8.8
End1.1
red by 8.7
9448
#25
4.40.1
2.32.4
Auto1.5
Teleop0.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed