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Red103
928912.9
406334.7
463935.2
Blue51
258728.9
87509.6
947810.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions965102040608012014016010351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+38Teleop
+34Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave9
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points7
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +35
15Coral scored#6
54Coral points21
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
64Total teleop29
Reef
4L4#2
8L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
18Foul points0
103Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.20.0
33.133.1
Auto5.7
Teleop28.2
End1.3
red by 6.3
2587
#11
28.90.2
27.327.1
Auto6.7
Teleop20.8
End1.5
Second
34.70.1
33.633.5
Auto5.7
Teleop27.8
End1.1
red by 24.3
9478
#24
10.40.2
9.39.1
Auto4.1
Teleop5.2
End1.1
Third
12.90.0
9.99.9
Auto4.0
Teleop7.5
End1.4
red by 3.3
8750
#23
9.60.2
8.98.7
Auto4.5
Teleop3.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed