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Red84
590816.5
761617.5
258728.9
Blue120
303533.4
463935.2
406334.7
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6211605010015084120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+36
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +29
13Coral scored#19
45Coral points70
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
65Total teleop94
Reef
3L4#8
6L3#6
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
6Foul points6
84Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
#11
28.90.6
27.127.7
Auto6.7
Teleop20.8
End1.5
blue by 6.3
35.20.3
33.133.4
Auto5.7
Teleop28.2
End1.3
Second
7616
#22
17.50.6
16.517.1
Auto3.4
Teleop10.7
End3.3
blue by 17.2
34.70.4
33.533.9
Auto5.7
Teleop27.8
End1.1
Third
5908
#17
16.50.6
15.115.7
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End1.4
blue by 16.9
33.40.3
31.832.2
Auto5.3
Teleop26.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed