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Red66
801923.7
951715.0
87509.6
Blue98
32432.2
94484.4
928912.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595302040801006698

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+26
Fouls+32
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +25
8Coral scored#11
29Coral points38
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
0Processor points12
12Net points16
12Algae points28
41Total teleop66
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points6
66Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8019
#16
23.70.7
22.823.5
Auto4.3
Teleop17.3
End2.1
blue by 8.5
324
#4
32.22.9
28.531.4
Auto5.4
Teleop23.4
End3.4
Second
9517
#20
15.00.8
13.514.2
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End1.4
red by 2.1
12.92.6
9.912.5
Auto4.0
Teleop7.5
End1.4
Third
8750
#23
9.60.9
8.79.6
Auto4.5
Teleop3.2
End1.8
red by 5.2
9448
#25
4.42.6
2.45.0
Auto1.5
Teleop0.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned