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Red112
951516.1
147753.1
912848.5
Blue47
801923.7
881813.1
857310.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1344105010015020011247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+41Teleop
+65Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
12Coral scored#6
43Coral points22
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
63Total teleop36
Reef
6L4#2
5L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#10
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +65
0Foul points0
112Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.10.2
51.751.6
Auto10.5
Teleop32.7
End9.9
red by 29.4
8019
#16
23.70.1
23.523.4
Auto4.3
Teleop17.3
End2.1
Second
48.50.2
47.147.0
Auto12.9
Teleop29.2
End6.5
red by 35.4
8818
#13
13.10.1
12.812.7
Auto3.2
Teleop8.8
End1.1
Third
9515
#14
16.10.2
14.714.6
Auto5.7
Teleop6.9
End3.5
red by 5.8
8573
#19
10.30.1
10.19.9
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End1.4