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Red187
463935.2
258341.6
912111.3
Blue11
905113.1
85917.6
94484.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions991905015018711

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+92Teleop
+94Endgame
+176Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +78
17Coral scored#0
60Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
78Total teleop0
Reef
7L4#0
6L3#1
5L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
24Game pieces#1
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +176
82Foul points0
187Total score11

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.60.5
39.840.3
Auto9.9
Teleop31.0
End0.7
red by 28.5
9051
#10
13.10.4
13.813.4
Auto2.6
Teleop8.6
End1.9
Second
35.20.5
33.433.9
Auto5.7
Teleop28.2
End1.3
red by 27.5
8591
#15
7.60.4
8.37.9
Auto2.9
Teleop3.8
End0.9
Third
9121
#21
11.30.5
9.510.0
Auto4.1
Teleop6.2
End1.0
red by 6.9
9448
#25
4.40.4
5.04.7
Auto1.5
Teleop0.7
End2.2