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Red112
32432.2
582929.2
590816.5
Blue55
1038514.6
761617.5
928912.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9447020608012014016011255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+53Teleop
+55Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +46
16Coral scored#8
58Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
90Total teleop44
Reef
7L4#2
4L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +57
2Foul points0
112Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#4
32.20.6
31.431.9
Auto5.4
Teleop23.4
End3.4
red by 14.7
7616
#22
17.50.0
17.117.1
Auto3.4
Teleop10.7
End3.3
Second
5829
#12
29.20.6
28.429.0
Auto5.5
Teleop21.8
End1.9
red by 14.6
14.60.1
14.214.3
Auto1.7
Teleop11.4
End1.5
Third
5908
#17
16.50.6
15.716.3
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End1.4
red by 3.6
12.90.0
12.512.6
Auto4.0
Teleop7.5
End1.4