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Red65
801923.7
881813.1
857310.3
Blue107
406334.7
1034027.1
951715.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions499102040608010012014016065107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+36
Endgame+38
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points23
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +29
8Coral scored#12
29Coral points42
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
12Processor points12
4Net points20
16Algae points32
45Total teleop74
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#5
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points4
65Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8019
#16
23.70.4
23.423.7
Auto4.3
Teleop17.3
End2.1
blue by 11.0
34.70.6
34.134.7
Auto5.7
Teleop27.8
End1.1
Second
8818
#13
13.10.4
12.713.1
Auto3.2
Teleop8.8
End1.1
blue by 14.0
27.10.6
26.627.1
Auto7.5
Teleop17.1
End2.5
Third
8573
#19
10.30.4
9.910.3
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End1.4
blue by 4.7
9517
#20
15.00.6
14.515.0
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End1.4