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Red18
905113.1
85917.6
94484.4
Blue68
1038514.6
761617.5
928912.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295502040801001201401868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+48
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +45
1Coral scored#10
4Coral points37
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
0Processor points12
4Net points4
4Algae points16
8Total teleop53
Reef
1L4#3
0L3#5
0L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
18Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9051
#10
13.10.3
13.413.1
Auto2.6
Teleop8.6
End1.9
blue by 4.3
7616
#22
17.50.4
17.117.5
Auto3.4
Teleop10.7
End3.3
Second
8591
#15
7.60.3
7.97.6
Auto2.9
Teleop3.8
End0.9
blue by 7.0
14.60.4
14.314.7
Auto1.7
Teleop11.4
End1.5
Third
9448
#25
4.40.3
4.74.4
Auto1.5
Teleop0.7
End2.2
blue by 8.5
12.90.4
12.613.0
Auto4.0
Teleop7.5
End1.4