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Red129
14858.0
873216.7
300560.0
Blue103
288139.9
331028.6
295021.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16210350150200250129103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+26Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave9
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points14
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +12
12Coral scored#9
44Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
12Processor points6
4Net points8
16Algae points14
60Total teleop48
Reef
6L4#5
6L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +26
18Foul points18
129Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.00.5
60.259.7
Auto15.8
Teleop38.2
End6.0
red by 20.2
39.90.1
40.240.1
Auto7.2
Teleop26.8
End5.9
Second
148
#1
58.00.5
58.257.6
Auto11.4
Teleop38.5
End8.2
red by 29.4
3310
#27
28.60.1
29.028.9
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End3.6
Third
8732
#38
16.70.5
16.916.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End3.0
blue by 4.5
2950
#13
21.20.1
21.621.5
Auto3.9
Teleop14.7
End2.6