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Red151
14858.0
873216.7
300560.0
Blue87
288139.9
331028.6
295021.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1591025020025015187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+80Teleop
+72Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +73
24Coral scored#9
88Coral points33
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
12Processor points6
24Net points12
36Algae points18
124Total teleop51
Reef
9L4#4
9L3#3
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +64
0Foul points8
151Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.00.4
59.760.0
Auto15.8
Teleop38.2
End6.0
red by 20.2
39.90.3
40.139.9
Auto7.2
Teleop26.8
End5.9
Second
148
#1
58.00.4
57.658.0
Auto11.4
Teleop38.5
End8.2
red by 29.4
3310
#27
28.60.3
28.928.6
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End3.6
Third
8732
#38
16.70.4
16.316.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End3.0
blue by 4.5
2950
#13
21.20.3
21.521.2
Auto3.9
Teleop14.7
End2.6