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Red74
246825.2
873216.7
876912.4
Blue84
268933.3
295021.2
55039.2
52%Model gave it48%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions705801002003004005007484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+4Teleop
Endgame+6
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +2
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
10Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +6
9Coral scored#8
32Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
50Total teleop44
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
8Foul points12
74Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#23
25.20.7
36.135.3
Auto4.2
Teleop17.4
End3.5
blue by 8.1
33.31.0
22.623.5
Auto5.9
Teleop20.3
End7.2
Second
8732
#38
16.70.7
14.713.9
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End3.0
blue by 4.5
2950
#13
21.21.0
13.814.7
Auto3.9
Teleop14.7
End2.6
Third
8769
#41
12.40.7
11.510.7
Auto2.8
Teleop8.5
End1.1
red by 3.2
5503
#16
9.21.0
15.116.0
Auto3.2
Teleop1.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned