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Red109
129637.2
41838.5
1031211.0
Blue115
300560.0
874930.0
712120.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7495050150200109115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
0Teleop0
0Endgame0
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points30
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +14
14Coral scored#10
51Coral points35
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
12Processor points18
16Net points12
28Algae points30
79Total teleop65
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#3
5L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points6
109Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#9
38.53.3
23.727.0
Auto5.9
Teleop29.9
End2.7
blue by 21.5
60.01.4
37.238.6
Auto15.8
Teleop38.2
End6.0
Second
37.23.3
32.135.4
Auto5.2
Teleop24.9
End7.1
red by 7.3
30.01.4
24.325.7
Auto3.4
Teleop19.9
End6.7
Third
11.03.3
13.116.4
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End2.3
blue by 9.6
7121
#12
20.61.4
23.024.4
Auto9.4
Teleop9.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsEarned