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Red117
296914.9
97868.4
14858.0
Blue58
271433.5
258330.3
885820.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75732040608010012011758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+11Teleop
+23Endgame
+59Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +11
7Coral scored#6
25Coral points20
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
49Total teleop38
Reef
2L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
36Foul points0
117Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
58.01.4
41.542.9
Auto11.4
Teleop38.5
End8.2
red by 24.5
2714
#10
33.51.0
30.529.5
Auto6.0
Teleop22.8
End4.7
Second
2969
#14
14.91.4
17.719.1
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End2.2
blue by 15.4
2583
#11
30.31.0
21.220.2
Auto7.0
Teleop22.2
End1.2
Third
9786
#40
8.41.4
9.410.7
Auto1.4
Teleop5.9
End1.1
blue by 11.8
8858
#28
20.11.0
15.514.5
Auto2.1
Teleop15.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed