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Red44
851517.7
652612.5
586615.8
Blue123
258240.5
461015.5
808832.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4894015044123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+75
Endgame+85
Fouls+79
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +72
6Coral scored#18
20Coral points66
0Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
0Processor points18
8Net points16
8Algae points34
28Total teleop100
Reef
2L4#7
2L3#4
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +79
6Foul points0
44Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8515
#17
17.72.2
20.918.7
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End2.1
blue by 22.8
40.53.6
31.835.4
Auto5.4
Teleop28.2
End6.9
Second
5866
#21
15.82.2
13.110.9
Auto2.0
Teleop11.0
End2.8
blue by 16.2
8088
#18
32.03.6
32.235.8
Auto3.8
Teleop27.1
End1.0
Third
6526
#22
12.52.2
12.710.5
Auto2.4
Teleop8.2
End1.9
blue by 3.1
4610
#30
15.53.6
15.419.0
Auto2.4
Teleop10.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsEarned