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Red10
873216.7
55039.2
Blue139
246825.2
288139.9
905417.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions619805015020010139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+63
Endgame+73
Fouls+129
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +56
0Coral scored#13
0Coral points46
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
0Total teleop56
Reef
1L4#6
0L3#4
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
1Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +129
0Foul points56
10Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8732
#38
16.75.3
19.914.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End3.0
blue by 23.1
39.90.1
30.130.0
Auto7.2
Teleop26.8
End5.9
Second
9.35.3
17.011.8
Auto2.3
Teleop5.6
End1.4
blue by 15.9
2468
#23
25.20.1
36.136.1
Auto4.2
Teleop17.4
End3.5
Third
5503
#16
9.25.3
20.315.1
Auto3.2
Teleop1.6
End4.4
blue by 7.8
9054
#26
17.00.1
17.417.3
Auto4.0
Teleop11.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned