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Red34
331028.6
56136.5
300560.0
Blue38
840810.6
94447.1
637739.0
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114620501001502003438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+6Teleop
+8Endgame
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points7
16Total auto10
Teleoperatedlevel
2Coral scored#2
8Coral points6
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
0Processor points6
4Net points0
4Algae points6
12Total teleop12
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
6Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points12
34Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.06.9
44.237.2
Auto15.8
Teleop38.2
End6.0
red by 21.1
39.03.6
31.027.3
Auto6.2
Teleop30.6
End2.2
Second
3310
#27
28.66.9
35.128.2
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End3.6
red by 18.0
8408
#29
10.63.6
12.38.7
Auto2.6
Teleop5.9
End2.1
Third
5613
#39
6.56.9
17.310.3
Auto2.7
Teleop2.3
End1.4
blue by 0.6
9444
#37
7.13.6
15.311.7
Auto1.9
Teleop5.8
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed