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Red27
295021.2
852813.3
521211.1
Blue43
268933.3
957714.6
71258.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655302040801001201402743

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+18
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +18
3Coral scored#7
11Coral points25
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
15Total teleop33
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
27Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2950
#13
21.23.5
17.213.8
Auto3.9
Teleop14.7
End2.6
blue by 12.1
33.30.8
23.422.6
Auto5.9
Teleop20.3
End7.2
Second
8528
#20
13.33.5
20.517.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.4
End3.2
blue by 1.3
9577
#19
14.60.8
9.58.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.0
End2.5
Third
5212
#33
11.13.5
17.514.1
Auto3.2
Teleop8.2
End-0.2
red by 2.9
7125
#36
8.30.8
15.114.2
Auto4.3
Teleop3.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed